Mortgage Approvals Down Fuelling Housing Gloom

Fears over the state of the UK housing marketadded.
are on the rise, prompted by the announcementIn support of the BBA statistics, a recent survey
from the British Bankers' Association thatby the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors
mortgage approvals for September fell 14%has highlighted prices falling at their fastest rate in
compared to August.two years. This comes on top of comments
Total mortgage approvals for the month offrom Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee
September 2007 for BBA members were talliedmember Kate Barker suggesting that the housing
at 52,685, significantly down on the 61,051market is overvalued, and could be affected by a
recorded in August, and weighing in at 27% lowershift in people's perceptions of the market, borne
than the same month last year. Indeed, theout by the uncertainty in the buy-to-let sector.
number of September approvals was at itsLehman Brothers mortgage expert Peter Newland
lowest since 2000. Much importance is placed onis anticipating a decline in overall demand for
the number of UK mortgages advanced in amortgage approval to be reflected in the official
month as they are a key indicator of the state offigures published by the Bank of England in early
the market; a decline suggests that house pricesNovember. He expects a drop from the August
will soon follow the downward trend.figure of 109,000 to around 100,000 for the
The director of statistics for the BBA, Davidwhole market in September. He said: "We expect
Dooks said: "Lower amounts of new mortgagemortgage demand, as well as other indicators to
lending combined with fewer approved housereflect a further slowing of the housing market in
purchase loans signal a weaker outlook for thethe coming months, to be followed by a sharp
mortgage market, especially if loan supply isslowdown in house price inflation in 2008.
reduced following the recent financial market"If we compare mortgages granted in September
difficulties and costs of borrowing remain at2007 to the same time last year, then the
current levels.amount of mortgages approved has significantly
"There was a small increase in net borrowingdeclined, but whether it is just a short-term dip or
during September, alongside a similar increase inwhether it will bounce back depends on a number
overdrafts and loans, but overall demand forof factors, including overcoming uncertainty over
unsecured lending continues to remain weak." Hehouse price inflation.